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AUD/USD falls to two-month lows on rate cut prospects - dexterhined1936

AUD/USD retreated for a fifth straight trading day along Thursday, as it gain a fresh two-month low in recent Continent session, pressured by prospects of encourage monetary insurance easing in Australia, while investor endangerment appetite waned referable retardation commercial activity in the US in September and surging new COVID-19 infections in Europe.

"Risk is being sold across the board, and at that place is a whopping unwinding of clam shorts," Yukio Ishizuki, foreign exchange strategian at Daiwa Securities, said.

"Questions surrounding the coronavirus and the need for even Thomas More stimulus are turn flows back to the dollar."

The US Dollar remained firm near a two-calendar month high against a basketball hoop of six senior peers, equally a second wave of infections in a number of Continent countries and the likeliness of some other round of golf of lockdown restrictions in Britain stimulate bolstered its safe haven appealingness this week.

Additionally, several Federal Reserve System officials strongly emphatic the need for more government fiscal support to stimulate US worldly recovery from the coronavirus crisis.

Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar has come with under pressure since Federal Reserve Bank of Commonwealth of Australi Deputy Governor Guy Debelle registered happening Tuesday some insurance options, including currency securities industry intervention and negative interest rates, which the RBA was considering to achieve its inflation and use objectives.

As a result, analysts at Westpac, Goldman Sachs and HSBC amended down their rate forecasts concerning RBA's insurance coming together happening Oct 6th, As they now project a 15 basis point (0.15%) dilute to the central bank's Johnny Cash rate from the current 0.25% level.

As of 6:54 GMT happening Thursday AUD/USD was retreating 0.58% to swap at 0.7030, after earlier touching an intraday low of 0.7028, or A level not seen since July 21st (0.7011). The major geminate has retreated 4.67% so farthermost in September, following five consecutive months of gains. AUD/USD has plummeted 3.56% so far this calendar week, while being set to register its worst performance since the business sector week ended March 20th.

From macroeconomic perspective, a report by the The States Labour Department at 12:30 GMT today may show the number of people in the country, who filed for unemployment help for the first time during the business week ended September 18th, plausibly eased to 843,000, accordant to commercialise expectations, from 860,000 in the anterior week.

A separate write up by the US Bureau of the Census at 14:00 GMT may indicate radical home sales dropped 1% to 0.890 million units in August, according to market consensus. In July, sales of new unary-category homes in the res publica went up 13.9% from a month ago to an annualized range of 0.901 million, or the highest level since December 2006. Data suggested a continuing housing market retrieval amid phonograph record low interest rates.

As wel at 14:00 GMT, Federal Reserve System Chair Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are to testify before the Senate Banking Committee happening coronavirus relief.

Bond Yield Spread

The spread between 2-year Australian and 2-twelvemonth US enslaved yields, which reflects the flow of funds in a short term, equaled 3.6 basis points (0.036%) as of 6:15 UT on Th, devour from 3.9 basis points on September 23rd.

Regular Pivot Levels (traditionalistic method of calculation)

Central Pivot – 0.7106
R1 – 0.7143
R2 – 0.7215
R3 – 0.7252
R4 – 0.7289

S1 – 0.7034
S2 – 0.6997
S3 – 0.6925
S4 – 0.6853

Source: https://www.tradingpedia.com/2020/09/24/forex-market-aud-usd-registers-a-fresh-two-month-low-on-rate-cut-prospects-waning-risk-sentiment/

Posted by: dexterhined1936.blogspot.com

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